<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"><channel><title>Lance Dobson</title><description>One essay a week about how people arrive at beliefs and decide what is true.</description><link>https://lancedobson.com/</link><language>en-us</language><item><title>Does the Full Moon Make People Act Up? A Pre-Registration</title><link>https://lancedobson.com/essays/full-moon-pre-registration/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://lancedobson.com/essays/full-moon-pre-registration/</guid><description>Before comparing any data to the moon, here is exactly how I will test whether mood, violence, police calls and ER visits change at the full moon.</description><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>practice</category><category>full moon</category><category>lunar effect</category><category>pre-registration</category><category>folk causation</category><category>mood</category></item><item><title>Does the Full Moon Make People Act Up? The Results</title><link>https://lancedobson.com/essays/full-moon-results/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://lancedobson.com/essays/full-moon-results/</guid><description>I tested mood, assaults, police calls and ER visits against every full moon going back up to 25 years. The verdict: the full moon does not predict any of them.</description><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>practice</category><category>full moon</category><category>lunar effect</category><category>results</category><category>folk causation</category><category>mood</category></item><item><title>Does Mercury Retrograde Break the Internet? A Pre-Registration</title><link>https://lancedobson.com/essays/mercury-retrograde-outages-pre-registration/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://lancedobson.com/essays/mercury-retrograde-outages-pre-registration/</guid><description>Before pulling any outage data, here is exactly how I will test whether tech fails more when Mercury is retrograde, and what I expect to find.</description><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>practice</category><category>mercury retrograde</category><category>pre-registration</category><category>folk causation</category><category>outages</category><category>astrology</category></item><item><title>Does Mercury Retrograde Break the Internet? The Results</title><link>https://lancedobson.com/essays/mercury-retrograde-outages-results/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://lancedobson.com/essays/mercury-retrograde-outages-results/</guid><description>I tested 16 years of outage records against every Mercury retrograde since 2010. The verdict: retrograde does not predict tech outages.</description><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>practice</category><category>mercury retrograde</category><category>results</category><category>folk causation</category><category>outages</category><category>astrology</category></item></channel></rss>